Inside sh48.13 trillion National Budget, winners and losers

Parliament has approved  Sh 48.13 trillion National Budget for the next Financial year 2022/2023. 

The approved budget has increased by Sh5 trillion from the current financial year budget.

Over half of this money is expected to come from domestic revenue collection with Government targeting  a collection of Sh25.78 trillion  of which over Sh23.75 trillion coming from tax revenue to finance the national budget for coming financial year 2022/2023.

 
Henry Musasizi, the Minister of State for Finance- General Duties explained that the increase of the budget from an initial proposed figure of Sh 47.2 trillion  is due to various recommendations from the different parliament sectoral committees reports in regard to budget estimates.

The theme for the new financial year budget is Full Monetization of the Ugandan Economy through Commercial Agriculture, Industrialization, Expanding and Broadening Services and Digital Transformation and Market Access.

Musasizi said that the budget aims at achieving three broad objectives of ensuring peace and stability through enhanced security and macro-economic stability as key foundations for growth and development, mitigating the impact of Covid-19 pandemic and enhance social economic transformation.  

Government only expects to collect Sh 1.04 trillion from Non Tax Revenue (NTR), Sh993.7 billion Appropriations in Aid to finance the new budget, and another Sh 2.16 trillion will come from grants to support the budget. 

Domestic borrowing will account for Sh12.9 trillion, external borrowing Sh 7.165 trillion (about $2billion).

Patrick Isiagi, the Budget Committee Chairperson recommended that the Uganda Revenue Authority (URA) is fully funded to enable the body effectively carry out tax administration.

The budget allocations for the coming financial year 2022/2023 have also been structured along the programme approach premised on the 18 development programmes highlighted in the third National Development Plan (NDP III).

Out of the Sh48.13 trillion National Budget, Sh15.68 trillion is recurrent expenditure, Sh14.59 trillion is development expenditure while Sh17.8 trillion is statutory expenditure charged directly on the Consolidated Fund.

  Programme Allocations  

The largest share of the resource envelope is towards the Human Capital Development programme that entails (Health, Education and Gender) at Sh8.74 trillion.

This is followed by Governance and Security at Sh7.03 trillion ,Integrated Transport Infrastructure and Services with Sh4.17 trillion , Sustainable Energy Development at Sh1.6 trillion, and Agro-Industrialization getting Sh1.26 trillion , followed by others.

The others are Private Sector Development Sh1.59 trillion , Development Plan Implementation Sh1.23 trillion and Regional Balanced Development Sh1.19 trillion, Legislation, Oversight and Representation Sh 724.6 billion, Natural Resources, Environment, Climate Change, Land and Water Sh

617.4 billion, Administration of Justice Sh 393.5 billion, Manufacturing Sh 352.8 billion, Sustainable Urbanization and Housing Sh 344.2 billion and Public Sector Transformation Sh 206. 2 billion.

Some of the least funded programs are Tourism Development Sh 197.1 billion, Digital Transformation Sh 83.13 billion, Community Mobilization and Mindset Change Sh 73.4 billion, Mineral Development Sh 31.2 billion and Innovation, Technology Development and Transfer Sh 20.73billion. 

Debt repayment

Payment of debts is also to take a big chunk of the budget and largest share will go to domestic refinancing at Sh 8 trillion , interest payments Sh 6 trillion, external debt repayments Sh 2.41 trillion, domestic arrears Sh 697.9 billion and Appropriation in Aid  Sh 238.5 billion.

  Minority report

 In a minority report, the Opposition in Parliament described the budget as unrealistic given the increase in the initially laid budget by Sh 879.73 billion from Sh 47.25 trillion to Sh 48.1 trillion.

“The increment will be financed largely by additional borrowing of Sh 858.24 billion. This raises total projected borrowing in financial year 2022/2023 from Sh18.85 trillion to Sh 19.71 trillion. This translates to an increment of 5%. The adverse effect of this level of borrowing will be felt through interest payments which will rise higher than the Sh5.5 trillion that was earlier projected when the budget estimates were laid. This expenditure takes first call on the revenue collection and reduces funds available for service delivery,” reads part of the minority report.

The report presented by Butambala County MP, Muwanga Kivumbi was also signed by Kira Municipality MP, Ibrahim Ssemujju Nganda, Mawogola South MP Gorreth Namugga, Opposition Chief Whip John Baptist Nambeshe and Kassanda North MP Patrick Nsamba.

Kivumbi added that most of the tax and administrative measures from which URA relies  for collections are underperforming. 

He said that as of February 2022, 68 percent of the total of 25 tax and administrative measures were underperforming below 50 percent as of Quarter 2 of financial year 2021/22.

“This casts further doubt on the whether the proposed annual budget will be realized. This is mainly attributed to failure to undertake evaluations of past tax measures to inform proposed measures for the subsequent financial year,” Kivumbi said.

He recommended that all tax bills when being laid should be accompanied by regulatory impact assessments and that this will aid parliament determine the undertaken cost benefit analysis.

The Opposition also wants Parliament to amend Rule 159 of the parliament Rules of Procedure to specifically require Committees to undertake post legislative scrutiny.

Kivumbi says that the responsibility of Parliament should not end with bill scrutiny and ensuring that it is assented into law. 

He argues that this will empower the Committee on Finance to undertake scrutiny of tax and administrative policy measures passed by Parliament. 

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